Paulista vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
4 - 4
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |