Paulista vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
JUV
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
PAU
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
VEL
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |