Paulista vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RBB
4 - 3
RIO
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
RIO
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |