Paulista vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 0
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
RBB
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 1
XVD
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RBB
4 - 3
RIO
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
RBB
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
INT
3 - 1
RBB
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |