Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
PAU
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DES
2 - 1
PAU
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
PAU
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |