Paulista vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
3 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAU
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
PAU
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |