Paulista vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
PAU
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAU
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
PAU
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 1
ITU
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 5
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |