Paulista vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
PAU
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAU
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAU
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 2
RBB
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
VOT
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |