Paulista vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 2
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
5 - 1
PAU
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 3
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 4
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 1
2DE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
RIV
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
12O
1 - 0
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |