Paulista vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
PAU
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
VEL
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
MIR
21%
24%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 3
JUV
50%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |