Paulista vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
3 - 1
PAU
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 0
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
XVD
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 1
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
INT
1 - 1
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |