Paulista vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PAU
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PAU
6 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAU
38%
26%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 0
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 3
FLA
17%
24%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
FLA
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAU
38%
26%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |