Paulista vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
BRA
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
PAU
76%
16%
7%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 1
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 2
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |