Paulista vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
COR
2 - 2
PAU
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 2
AME
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BSC
6 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 2
ESP
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |