Paulista vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 1
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 3
PAU
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
PAU
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 1
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 4
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 0
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |