Paulista vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
PAU
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
PAU
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAU
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 1
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 2
MOG
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |