Paulista vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
PAU
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OES
2 - 2
PAU
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PAU
0 - 2
MIR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
PAU
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
PAU
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 3
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 4
ITU
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |