Paulista vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
PAU
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAU
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAU
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 1
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |