Paulhan/Pézenas vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
PAU
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 2
SPO
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MGG
4 - 3
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEP
1 - 1
PAU
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 1
HYE
34%
29%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCM
2 - 0
TAR
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 1
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
TAR
40%
26%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 1
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |