Paulhan/Pézenas vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 2
PAU
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 0
NIO
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
PAU
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 0
TOU
61%
19%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
PAU
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
ANG
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 3
CAS
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
BLA
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |