Paulhan/Pézenas vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PAU
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 2
PAU
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
AUR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 2
PAU
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
NIO
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
33%
28%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |