Paulhan/Pézenas vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 2
PAU
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 1
LES
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 4
PAU
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAU
26%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
GRE
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
NIO
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
AUR
51%
26%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |