Pau FC vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
PAU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 2
PAU
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
PAU
3 - 0
BEZ
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 1
PAU
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 1
PAU
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BEZ
2 - 3
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
CON
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |