Pau FC vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAU
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
OLY
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
PAU
47%
26%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAU
4 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 4
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
BEZ
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |