Pau FC vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIM
1 - 1
PAU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEZ
2 - 3
TAR
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
TAR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |