Pau FC vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAU
58%
25%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
AGD
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAU
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
4 - 0
GAP
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
ROD
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAR
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 3
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
CON
4 - 2
TAR
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 0
BEZ
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |