Pau FC vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
PAU
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAU
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
PAU
7 - 2
LEP
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
PAU
36%
28%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 1
SAE
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAE
2 - 0
MON
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
SAE
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAE
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAE
4 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |