Pau FC vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 2
PAU
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HYE
0 - 1
PAU
39%
29%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 1
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAU
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 0
LEP
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 2
HYE
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
ROD
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |