Pau FC vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
ROD
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 0
LEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 2
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 2
FCM
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 1
ROD
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEP
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
TAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |