Pau FC vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
ROD
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 0
LEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCM
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
MAR
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEP
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |