Pau FC vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HYE
1 - 1
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 1
PAU
55%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
FCM
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
LES
47%
28%
26%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLY
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
HYE
32%
30%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |