Pau FC vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 5
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LES
6 - 0
PAU
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 1
TRE
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
LOR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
FON
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
GDB
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |