Pau FC vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
PAU
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 3
GDB
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAI
3 - 3
PAU
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAU
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
FON
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FON
0 - 3
LES
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FON
0 - 0
PLA
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FON
1 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GDB
1 - 3
FON
58%
23%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |