Pau FC vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
11º
6º
3
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 63 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 36 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 2
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
4 - 0
RSO
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 4
PAU
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 4
FCM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 0
NÎM
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |