Pau FC vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GDB
0 - 1
PAU
37%
27%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 0
PAU
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
BEZ
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UZE
1 - 0
PAU
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 4
HYE
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BEZ
0 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
HYE
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 1
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
ALB
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |