Pau FC vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLY
0 - 1
PAU
55%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
FCM
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 0
AGD
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
PAU
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HYE
1 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
LES
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
OLY
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |