Pau FC II vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
8º
4º
41
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
FCP
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPS
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 2
FCP
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 1
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CRF
0 - 4
FCP
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
LES
32%
29%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
GDB
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
COL
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
COL
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |