Pau FC II vs CA Neuville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
14º
4º
21
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GUE
2 - 0
FCP
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 3
GDB
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCP
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 2
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCP
54%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA Neuville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CNF
1 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 2
CNF
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CNF
1 - 4
FCL
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
COG
0 - 5
CNF
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
CNF
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |