Patronato vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 1
PAT
40%
29%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 1
ATT
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 0
PAT
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 3
INS
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
VSC
71%
19%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IND
23%
30%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
VSC
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 1
SMA
23%
28%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |