Patronato vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TEM
1 - 1
PAT
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 3
PAT
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 0
CSE
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 1
PAT
52%
28%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
DHA
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IRV
1 - 1
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
GAF
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |