Patronato vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 1
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 1
TEM
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IRV
2 - 0
PAT
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALB
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
PAT
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
HUR
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
TEM
2 - 0
SAR
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
IRV
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
DHA
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 3
SAR
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |