Patronato vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
PAT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 0
HUR
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
PAT
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
SAR
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
PAT
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATT
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
INS
2 - 3
CHI
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
BAN
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |