Patronato vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 1
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
SMA
4 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
PAT
2 - 2
IRV
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 2
PAT
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 3
INS
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
40%
27%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
CHA
49%
29%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
INS
28%
30%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
FER
49%
28%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |