Patronato vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 0
PAT
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
NOB
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
PAT
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAT
4 - 2
ARS
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
CDN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
ALI
57%
26%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
SMA
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 3
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |