Patronato vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 0
ATT
42%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
IRV
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IRV
2 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 1
IRV
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
IRV
0 - 1
HUR
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |