Patronato vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
PAT
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 3
BUC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
PAT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
GIM
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
PAT
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
IRV
2 - 0
CEN
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 1
IRV
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IRV
2 - 2
ALD
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HUR
3 - 0
IRV
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 0
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |