Patronato vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 0
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 6
GLP
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 2
PAT
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 3
RAC
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NOB
1 - 0
PAT
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
STM
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
MOR
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOR
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |