Patronato vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
PAT
41%
31%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 5
CDN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 1
PAT
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
PAT
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
RIV
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 5
ATT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
4 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ATT
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |