Patronato vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
5 - 0
PAT
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
24%
25%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
PAT
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 0
PAT
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 2
CEN
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
GOD
48%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
5 - 0
OLI
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |