Patronato vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ATT
2 - 0
PAT
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 0
SMA
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
PAT
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PAT
2 - 0
BEL
28%
29%
44%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
PAT
3 - 1
CDN
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
SMA
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
SMA
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
CEN
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |